Business, Politics and Corporate Power

When firms bargain with governments and communities, and when governments and communities say no

Jason Miklian | Research Professor, Centre for Global Sustainability, University of Oslo
ORCID: 0000-0003-1227-0975 | Nobel Peace Prize Nominee 2024 and 2025

What this research covers

Definition: Business and political power is the study of how firms get what they want from governments and communities, and of what happens when those governments and communities refuse. The standard account gives a mobile firm bargaining power because officials want its investment. The research on this page tests that account where it breaks: in counties that pause data centers, in firms that fall silent under polarization, in jurisdictions sold to investors, and in platforms that comply with regimes that are formally democratic. The largest of these studies covers all 3,222 United States counties and county equivalents over 116 months (Miklian 2026).

Key Insights

  • A firm's threat to build elsewhere only works on officials who want it to stay. By August 2026, 348 US counties had adopted 457 restrictions on data centers. Counties were most likely to adopt a first restriction in the six months after a project announcement, and projects in those counties were 9.46 percentage points less likely to have started construction. Source: Miklian, Data Center Resistance in the United States, working paper, 2026
  • US professionals say polarization hinders social initiatives, but that perception does not predict unreported activity. In a synthetic survey of 400 social-impact professionals, US respondents overwhelmingly said polarization hinders social initiatives, yet that perception did not predict unreported social activity. Source: Miklian, The Quiet and the Compliant, ScienceOpen Preprints, 2026
  • Charter cities grow a little faster than their hosts and score badly on participation. Across 23 jurisdictions between 2015 and 2024, charter cities averaged 2.3 percentage points higher GDP growth than their host regions, while network state projects scored lower still on participatory governance because of token-weighted structures. Source: Miklian, Sovereignty for Sale?, working paper, 2026
  • Marx's economic diagnostics survive modern data; his political predictions do not. Ten hypotheses tested on panel data for 183 countries from 2000 to 2019: economic diagnoses scored a mean of .516 and political predictions .300. Source: Miklian, Right Diagnosis, Wrong Prescriptions?, working paper, 2026

Business and peace research asks what firms do for societies in conflict. The papers gathered here ask the prior question of how much power firms hold over the governments and communities they operate in, and what limits it. The answers come from a county-month panel of United States data center restrictions, a synthetic survey of corporate professionals in high-risk settings, output and governance data for 23 charter cities and network state projects, caselets of social media platforms in Turkey, India and Myanmar, the personal and diplomatic relationships of a nineteenth-century Mexican caudillo, and a test of ten Marxist hypotheses against panel data for 183 countries.

Two threads connect them. The first is bargaining: who holds the credible threat when a firm and a government disagree, and how that changes when the people deciding want the firm to leave. The second is visibility: firms exercise most influence when public attention is low, and the papers trace what happens when attention arrives, whether through a council hearing, a polarized electorate or a regime that writes compliance into formally democratic law. The data center study is the newest and largest, matching 457 restrictions to 2,165 projects (Miklian 2026).

Data center resistance and local refusal

Local refusal: a local government's decision to withhold permission from a proposed facility. A council that refuses denies the developer that site, and residents seeking to keep a facility out get what they want when the developer leaves, which is why Birmingham, Alabama and Independence, Missouri could pause new applications in 2026 and still let named projects proceed.

On 3 March 2026 the city council of Birmingham, Alabama approved a 180-day pause on new data center applications while letting the DC Blox expansion and the Nebius AI Factory, both already in permitting, proceed under the rules in force when they applied. Independence, Missouri did the same for the Nebius project under its review. By August 2026, governments in 348 American counties had adopted 457 restrictions on data centers since January 2017, 388 of them dated 2026. The paper matches those restrictions, from the Moratorium Nation inventory, to 2,165 data center projects assembled from Server Country, Compute Atlas, EPA permit records and Epoch AI.

Counties were most likely to adopt a first restriction in the announcement month and the five months after it: monthly adoption rose 1.75 percentage points in that window against 0.30 in months six to eleven and 0.38 from month twelve onward, across 321,054 county-months and 247 first adoptions. More than half of the adopting counties, 193 of 348, had no project in the inventory at all. Restrictions also spread between counties where the same opposition group was recorded, including counties sharing no border: 12 of the 14 adoption events that followed a connected county's adoption crossed a gap between counties. Projects in counties that restricted within six months of announcement were 9.46 percentage points less likely to have started construction by August 2026 (15 of 94 against 371 of 778), and where the county acted before any recorded opposition the gap was 20.97 points.

Data Center Resistance in the United States: Local Refusal and the Politics of Moratoria
Miklian | Working paper, early discussion draft, October 2026, full text and PDF
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Corporate silence and quiet politics

Quiet CSR: the claim that firms keep doing social-impact work while saying less about it in public once political polarization makes any statement costly, tested here against a synthetic survey of 400 professionals and a 2026 SSRN paper with Katsos, Van Buren, Rettberg and Cechvala.

The Quiet and the Compliant presents a synthetic survey of 400 corporate professionals who implement social initiatives in fragile and conflict-affected settings, and tests seven hypotheses on how regulatory environments, political polarization, sector and organizational structure shape corporate social engagement. European professionals report higher strategic integration of social impact on every measured dimension than their US peers. US professionals overwhelmingly report that polarization hinders social initiatives, yet that perception does not predict unreported social activity, which complicates the quiet CSR story. Professionals in extractive industries report both the highest operational preparedness and the highest awareness of complicity, a pattern the paper names presence-dependent reflexivity (ScienceOpen Preprints, DOI 10.14293/PR2199.003230.v2).

Has Your Company Gone Quiet, or Just Given Up?, by Jason Miklian, John E. Katsos, Harry J. Van Buren III, Angelika Rettberg and Sarah Cechvala, was posted to SSRN on 28 August 2026 as abstract 7347858 (DOI 10.2139/ssrn.7347858). The abstract, keywords and citation record are on its page on this site.

The Quiet and the Compliant: How Regulation and Polarization Shape Conventional Wisdoms on Corporate Social Engagement in High-risk Settings
Miklian | ScienceOpen Preprints, 2026; also arXiv 2604.06223
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Has Your Company Gone Quiet, or Just Given Up?
Miklian, Katsos, Van Buren, Rettberg and Cechvala | SSRN, 28 August 2026
Paper page → Read on SSRN →

Sovereignty for sale: charter cities and network states

Network state economy: the set of charter cities, special economic zones and investor-governed jurisdictions, from Honduras's ZEDEs to the theorized network states, that sell governance as a product, compared here across 23 jurisdictions between 2015 and 2024.

Across 23 jurisdictions between 2015 and 2024, charter cities averaged 2.3 percentage points higher GDP growth than their host regions, while network state-affiliated projects showed wide variance, with the successes concentrated in financial services and software where jurisdictional arbitrage pays. Both models score poorly on participatory governance, and network state projects score lower still because of token-weighted structures. Elite capture is prevalent, local community voice is marginalized, and the win-win language of promotional materials bears little resemblance to the observed power asymmetries. The paper closes with the regulatory safeguards that would change the distribution: binding community consent mechanisms, participation rights, and exit provisions that protect communities as well as investors (Miklian 2026).

Sovereignty for Sale? Quantifying the 'Network State' Economy: A Comparative Analysis of Charter Cities and Digital Jurisdiction Models
Miklian | Working paper, 2026, full text on page
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Platforms in hybrid regimes

Worst of both worlds: the mismatch produced when citizens expect democratic protection, platforms are designed on liberal democratic assumptions, and a hybrid regime exploits both through formally legal mechanisms, as in Turkey, India and Myanmar (Miklian, Cechvala and Katsos 2026).

Hybrid regimes keep formally democratic legal frameworks and undermine them through executive overreach and selective enforcement. Using a four-part taxonomy of government platform measures, content control, surveillance, propaganda dissemination and democratic façade maintenance, and caselets of Turkey (2016 to 2024), India (2019 to 2025) and Myanmar (2011 to 2024), the paper shows how these regimes deploy all four at once through mechanisms that set them apart from fully authoritarian digital governance. Platforms comply in exchange for market access, a trade the paper calls digital obedience taxation, and the revenue at stake is large: Meta's revenues exceeded $164.5 billion in 2024 (Miklian, Cechvala and Katsos 2026).

Digital Governance in Hybrid Regimes: How Global Social Media Platforms Navigate the Space Between Democracy and Authoritarianism
Miklian, Cechvala and Katsos | Working paper, under review, 2026, full text on page
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Business, politics and patriotism in nineteenth-century Mexico

The caudillo and the foreigner: Antonio López de Santa Anna is remembered as a strongman who built relationships with foreign actors for personal gain. The evidence from his diplomatic and personal dealings with foreigners between 1829 and 1847 complicates that portrait.

Santa Anna's periods of rule helped bring Mexico its independence, lost the country nearly half of its territory and shaped its later ideas of what a leader should be. Farías and Miklian assess his key personal and diplomatic relationships with foreign nationals during the formative 1829 to 1847 period, show how those relationships influenced Mexico's international relations, and trace how his caudillo leadership style carried into Mexico's nation-building. The article appeared in the International History Review in 2023 (DOI 10.1080/07075332.2023.2289906).

Business, Politics, and Patriotism: Relationships Between Antonio López de Santa Anna and Foreign Nationals in Mexico, 1829–1847
Farías and Miklian | International History Review, 2023
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Testing Marx against twenty-first-century data

Right diagnosis, wrong prescriptions: the finding that Marx's economic diagnostics hold up under modern econometric testing while his political predictions fail, so that institutional design mediates whether economic exploitation produces political change.

The paper translates ten of Marx's most influential hypotheses into falsifiable specifications and estimates them against data from the Penn World Tables, World Development Indicators, SWIID, ACLED, V-Dem, MARPOR and the American Time Use Survey, covering 183 countries from 2000 to 2019. Rising exploitation, labor's falling share, unemployment disciplining wages and automation generating alienation all hold, with economic diagnoses scoring a mean of .516. The political predictions, that immiseration produces class consciousness, that the state acts as a direct instrument of capital, and that structural crises generate revolutionary mobilization, score .300; rising inequality does not predict left-wing voting in cross-country panels, and a gig platform regression discontinuity confirms the reserve army wage discipline mechanism (Miklian 2026).

Right Diagnosis, Wrong Prescriptions? Testing Ten of Karl Marx's Hypotheses Against Twenty-First-Century Data
Miklian | Working paper, under review, 2026, full text on page
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Frequently Asked Questions

When do local governments restrict data centers?
Most often in the six months after a project is announced. Across 321,054 county-months, monthly first-adoption rose 1.75 percentage points in months zero to five after an announcement, against 0.30 in months six to eleven and 0.38 from month twelve on. More than half of the 348 adopting counties, 193, had no recorded project, so preparation for future proposals drives much of the adoption (Miklian 2026).
Do data center moratoria stop construction?
They go with fewer starts. Projects in counties that restricted within six months of announcement were 9.46 percentage points less likely to have started construction by August 2026, 15 of 94 against 371 of 778 other projects, after accounting for announcement month and reported capacity. Where the county acted before any recorded opposition the gap was 20.97 points, with one of 36 projects started.
Why does a firm's threat to leave sometimes fail?
Because the threat only pressures officials who want the investment. Residents and council members seeking to keep a facility out get what they want when the developer leaves, so the same threat that wins tax incentives from a growth-minded council gives an opposed council its preferred outcome. Birmingham, Alabama and Independence, Missouri both paused new applications in 2026 while letting named projects already under review proceed.
Have companies gone quiet on social issues?
US social-impact professionals say polarization hinders their initiatives, but in a synthetic survey of 400 professionals that perception did not predict unreported activity. European respondents reported higher strategic integration of social impact on every measured dimension, and extractive-industry respondents reported both the highest preparedness and the highest complicity awareness (Miklian, The Quiet and the Compliant, 2026). A 2026 paper with Katsos, Van Buren, Rettberg and Cechvala, Has Your Company Gone Quiet, or Just Given Up?, was posted to SSRN on 28 August 2026.
Do charter cities and network states deliver growth?
Charter cities averaged 2.3 percentage points higher GDP growth than their host regions across 23 jurisdictions from 2015 to 2024. Network state projects showed high variance with gains concentrated in financial services and software. Both score poorly on participatory governance, and elite capture is prevalent (Miklian, Sovereignty for Sale?, 2026).
How do social media platforms operate in hybrid regimes?
They comply with the regime's terms. Turkey, India and Myanmar deploy content control, surveillance, propaganda and democratic façade maintenance through formally legal mechanisms, and platforms accept the terms in exchange for market access, with Meta's 2024 revenues above $164.5 billion as the scale of what is at stake (Miklian, Cechvala and Katsos 2026).
Was Marx right?
His economics held up and his politics did not. Ten hypotheses tested against panel data for 183 countries from 2000 to 2019 gave his economic diagnoses a mean score of .516 and his political predictions .300. Rising inequality does not predict left-wing voting, and institutional design mediates whether crises produce progressive change (Miklian, Right Diagnosis, Wrong Prescriptions?, 2026).

Key Publications

Miklian | ScienceOpen Preprints, 2026
Miklian, Katsos, Van Buren, Rettberg and Cechvala | SSRN, August 2026
Miklian, Cechvala and Katsos | Working paper, 2026

Related Research Areas