Business in Fragile States

How private sector actors shape conflict, development, and peace across Myanmar, Colombia, India, Indonesia, Lebanon, Morocco, and Bangladesh

What is the core insight?

Private sector actors in fragile contexts operate simultaneously as economic, political, and peace-or-conflict agents. They are not neutral market participants but active shapers of how communities experience conflict, development, and transitions toward peace. Jason Miklian's fieldwork demonstrates that understanding business in fragile states requires examining the intersection of commercial strategy, political power, and social stability.

Key Insights

  • Business in fragile states is neither inherently good nor bad: Private sector actors shape conflict and peace outcomes through their choices—employment patterns, supply chain practices, political engagement, and community relationships. Understanding these mechanisms is essential for both peace practitioners and business leaders. Source: Fieldwork across 6 countries
  • SMEs operate as localized peacebuilders through demonstrated behavior: Small business contributions to peace depend on leadership visibility, community embeddedness, and demonstrated trustworthiness—not formal corporate policies. Leadership behavior, employment patterns, and political positioning determine peace impact. Source: Society and Business Review, 2025
  • Business engagement with fragile states reveals patterns of complicity and opportunity: Miklian's research documents both how businesses profit from conflict and how they can contribute to conflict transformation through responsible practices, transparent governance, and genuine community partnerships. Source: Fragile States fieldwork
  • Blocked reform in a fragmented state is usually about incumbent revenue: Morocco legalized decentralized solar generation across five laws between 2010 and 2023 and withheld the implementation decrees until June 2026, because incumbent producers and distributors stood to lose sales and no institutional pilot existed to adjudicate between them. Source: Globalizations, 2026

Overview

Jason Miklian has conducted extensive fieldwork across six countries grappling with conflict, state fragility, and development challenges. His research reveals how businesses navigate (and sometimes exploit) fragile environments—and how they can contribute to either conflict escalation or peacebuilding. The research spans Myanmar's ethnic tensions, Colombia's transition from war to peace, India's Maoist conflict, Indonesia's post-Reformasi political economy, Lebanon's polycrisis, Bangladesh's vulnerable SME sector, and, with Moritz Schmoll and Kristian Hoelscher, Morocco's solar megaprojects.

Myanmar

Myanmar's ethnic cleansing and parallel processes of economic development create a unique laboratory for understanding how business operates amid mass atrocities. Miklian's work examines both the complicity of private firms and the possibilities for responsible business practice in one of Southeast Asia's most complex fragile states.

Ethnic Cleansing and Economic Development

How does business relate to ethnic cleansing?

Miklian's 2019 analysis shows how economic development strategies often proceed in parallel with, and sometimes exacerbate, processes of ethnic cleansing. Extractive industries, land acquisition, and infrastructure projects create incentives for marginalization of minority groups. Understanding this nexus is essential for firms seeking to operate responsibly and for governments designing inclusive development policies.

Contextualising and Theorising Economic Development, Local Business and Ethnic Cleansing in Myanmar
Miklian (2019), Conflict, Security & Development, 19(1)
Paper page on this site · Read the ethnic cleansing and development study

Domestic vs. Foreign Firm Perceptions

Do domestic and foreign firms view responsibility differently?

Domestic and foreign firms in Myanmar diverge significantly in their perceptions of responsible business practice. Foreign firms often face pressure from international stakeholders to meet global standards, while domestic firms navigate local political relationships and immediate survival concerns. These differences shape their roles in either reinforcing or challenging conflict-enabling structures.

Responsible Business in Fragile Contexts: Comparing Perceptions from Domestic and Foreign Firms in Myanmar
Barkemeyer & Miklian (2019), Sustainability, 11(3):598
Paper page on this site · Read the domestic vs. foreign firms study

Business, Peacebuilding, and Conflict Survey

Miklian and Barkemeyer's 2022 survey of firms across Myanmar provides systematic evidence on how businesses perceive their role in peacebuilding, the obstacles they face, and their strategies for contributing to (or withdrawing from) conflict-affected communities.

Business, Peacebuilding, Violent Conflict and Sustainable Development in Myanmar: Presenting Evidence from a New Survey Dataset
Miklian & Barkemeyer (2022), Journal of Asia Business Studies, 16(4):497-516
Paper page on this site · Read the Myanmar business and peacebuilding survey

Colombia

Colombia's transition from half a century of internal conflict to a fragile peace created a unique laboratory for understanding how businesses adapt when the conflict that shaped their strategy suddenly ends. Miklian's fieldwork documents both the challenges and opportunities of business transformation during peace transitions.

From War-Torn to Peace-Torn

What does "war-torn to peace-torn" mean?

Many Colombian businesses developed strategies, supply chains, and political relationships that operated under conditions of active conflict. When peace arrived, these firms faced profound challenges: their conflict-era strategies became liabilities, their political connections shifted in legitimacy, and the entire market environment transformed. Miklian's research shows how firms navigated this disorienting transition.

From War-Torn to Peace-Torn? Mapping Business Strategies in Transition from Conflict to Peace in Colombia
Miklian & Rettberg (2019)
Paper page on this site · Read the war-torn to peace-torn study

Footprints of Peace: The Coffee Project

How can coffee production contribute to peacebuilding?

The "Footprints of Peace" coffee initiative demonstrates how agricultural business can be designed intentionally to support conflict-affected communities and strengthen local peacebuilding. By connecting coffee production to peacebuilding outcomes, the project shows how supply chains can become vehicles for social healing rather than economic extraction.

Theorizing Business and Local Peacebuilding Through the 'Footprints of Peace' Coffee Project in Rural Colombia
Miklian & Medina-Bickel (2020), Business & Society, 59(5):993-1029
Paper page on this site · Read the Footprints of Peace study

Small Business Leadership and Citizen Perceptions

What role do small business leaders play in peace?

Small business owners are often embedded in their communities in ways that large corporations are not. They shape local economic opportunity, employ neighbors, and model civic participation. Miklian and Hoelscher show how small business leadership directly influences whether citizens perceive their economy as inclusive and whether they support peace consolidation.

Small Business Leadership, Peacebuilding, and Citizen Perceptions of Businesses as Peacebuilders: Theory and Evidence from Colombia
Hoelscher & Miklian (2025), Society and Business Review, 15(1):29-52
Paper page on this site · Read the small business leadership study

Empresarios y Transición

This Spanish-language analysis examines Colombian entrepreneurs and business associations as political and social actors during peace transition. The research reveals how business leadership shapes the political economy of peace consolidation.

Empresarios y transición en Colombia: de un abrazo cálido a un saludo reservado
Miklian, Rettberg & Betancur-Restrepo (2023), Andes
Paper page on this site

India and South Asia

India's Maoist conflict, communal violence, and rapid urbanization create overlapping crises where business decisions interact with patterns of inequality, caste, religion, and political economy. Miklian's research spans conflict zones, slums, and smart cities to understand how private sector actors shape stability.

Hearts and Mines: The Maoist Conflict

What is the relationship between mining and the Maoist conflict?

India's Maoist insurgency overlaps significantly with districts containing mineral wealth. Mining creates both grievances (displacement, environmental damage, weak state governance) and opportunities for insurgent financing. Miklian's "Hearts and Mines" analysis reveals how extractive industries are intertwined with patterns of armed conflict in ways that demand both environmental and peace-focused governance.

Hearts and Mines: A District-Level Analysis of the Maoist Conflict in India
Hoelscher, Miklian & Vadlamannati (2012), International Area Studies Review, 15(1):23-46
Paper page on this site · Read the Hearts and Mines study

Political Ecology of War in Maoist India

This analysis situates the Maoist conflict within India's political ecology—examining how natural resources, state capacity, and livelihood strategies interact to create conditions for armed insurgency. The research emphasizes that conflict is not merely political or economic but rooted in the material struggle over land and resources.

The Political Ecology of War in Maoist India
Miklian (2012), Politics, Religion & Ideology, 13(3):443-462
Paper page on this site · Read the political ecology of war study

Religion, Poverty, and Conflict in Ahmedabad

How do poverty and religion intersect with business in fragile cities?

Ahmedabad's slums reveal how poverty, religious identity, and economic marginalization interact. Miklian and Birkvad document how informal businesses in poor communities operate within networks defined by caste and religion, and how these networks become vectors for either conflict or solidarity during moments of communal tension.

Religion, Poverty and Conflict in a Garbage Slum of Ahmedabad
Miklian & Birkvad (2016)
Paper page on this site · Read the religion poverty and conflict study

Smart Cities and Social Cohesion

Can smart city development improve social cohesion?

India's rapid urbanization and smart city initiatives promise technological solutions to urban challenges. Miklian and Hoelscher's research questions whether technology-driven development can actually build social cohesion in cities marked by deep inequalities. The findings suggest that business models centered only on technological innovation risk deepening divides if they ignore the social and political dimensions of inclusive urban development.

Smart Cities, Mobile Technologies and Social Cohesion in India
Miklian & Hoelscher (2017), Indian Journal of Human Development, 11(1):1-16
Paper page on this site · Read the smart cities and social cohesion study

India's Human Security

Miklian and Kolas's edited volume on India's human security challenges examines how individuals and communities experience insecurity across multiple dimensions: conflict, poverty, environmental degradation, and discrimination. Business plays a central role in either mitigating or exacerbating these human security challenges.

India's Human Security: Lost Debates, Forgotten People, Intractable Challenges
Miklian & Kolas (Eds.) (2013)
Paper page on this site

Indonesia

Indonesia's post-Reformasi democratization created a new political economy where business operates within transformed (but still fragile) institutions. Miklian's recent work examines how private sector actors navigate multiple dimensions of conflict risk in Southeast Asia's largest economy.

Business and Violent Conflict as Multidimensional Relationship

What is the relationship between business and violent conflict in Indonesia?

Business and violent conflict are not simply opposed forces. In Indonesia's post-Reformasi context, private firms may simultaneously experience violence as a threat to business continuity, benefit from violence-enabled control of territory or resources, and contribute to grievances that fuel violence. This multidimensional relationship demands nuanced analysis rather than simplistic narratives of business as peacemaker or warmonger.

Business and Violent Conflict as a Multidimensional Relationship: The Case of Post-Reformasi Indonesia
Hanoteau, Miklian & Barkemeyer (2025), Business Horizons, 68(2):185-195
Paper page on this site · https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0007681325000424

Lebanon

Lebanon's polycrisis—overlapping state collapse, economic implosion, and refugee pressures—creates extreme fragility. Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) must survive amid currency collapse, banking breakdown, and political paralysis. Miklian's fieldwork documents their adaptive strategies and the limits of business resilience.

SME Survival in Polycrisis

How do SMEs survive in Lebanon's polycrisis?

Lebanese SMEs face simultaneous crises: economic collapse, currency devaluation, banking system failure, and political paralysis. Survival requires sophisticated strategies—informal currency exchange, non-traditional financing, geographic diversification, and deep social networks. Maalouf, Miklian, and Hoelscher show that business continuity in polycrisis depends less on formal institutions than on adaptive capacity and social capital.

Business Survival Strategies in a Polycrisis: SME Experiences from Beirut, Lebanon
Maalouf, Miklian & Hoelscher (2025), Business Horizons, 68(2):168-178
Paper page on this site · https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0007681325000461

Morocco

Morocco legalized decentralized solar generation and built the largest concentrated solar power complex in the world anyway. Work with Moritz Schmoll and Kristian Hoelscher traces the non-implementation to incumbent producers and distributors defending revenue inside a state with no day-to-day coordinator, and traces the megaproject choice to the returns of mobilizing foreign capital for domestic ends.

Why Morocco Built a Solar Megaproject Instead of Decentralizing

Why did Morocco avoid decentralized solar after legalizing it?

Five laws passed between 2010 and 2023 enabled decentralized generation and self-production, and the implementation decrees went unpublished until June 2026. The blockage sat in the power market. ONEE, the national grid operator and sole legal buyer, worried about the instability that large numbers of small injections could cause and about the sales it stood to lose; opening the grid to high voltage renewable production from private actors is said to have caused a drop of 30 to 40 percent of its sales. The Ministry of Interior, a more powerful ministry than the Ministry of Energy and responsible for the network of power distributors, is described as a key source of the blockage, and in everyday governance no institutional pilot adjudicated between MASEN, ONEE and the ministries of Finance, Energy and Interior. The centralized path meanwhile paid: the 582 MW Noor Ouarzazate complex drew $2.5 billion in funding from international lenders and gave Morocco standing it used for objectives of its own.

Solar extraversion: incumbent interests, foreign capital and the making of Morocco’s megaproject strategy
Schmoll, Miklian & Hoelscher (2026), Globalizations, 1-21
Paper page on this site · https://doi.org/10.1080/14747731.2026.2726683

Frequently Asked Questions

How do businesses operate in fragile states?
Businesses in fragile states operate within weak or failed institutional environments, where formal rules are ineffective and informal relationships dominate. They navigate multiple power centers, adapt to chronic uncertainty, rely on personal networks for security and transactions, and often develop hybrid formal-informal practices. Success depends on political connections, social capital, and tolerance for operating in gray institutional zones.
What happened to businesses during Myanmar's ethnic cleansing?
Some Myanmar businesses benefited from ethnic cleansing by acquiring displaced assets, accessing newly cleared land, or gaining advantageous contracts with military-aligned government. Others faced ethical crises and international pressure to exit Myanmar or adopt stricter responsible business standards. The research shows how economic and ethnic cleansing processes are intertwined, with business decisions either enabling or resisting mass atrocities.
How did Colombian businesses adapt to peace?
Colombian businesses adapted by shifting from conflict-era strategies (which depended on weak state capacity, armed group control, and illicit financing) to peace-era strategies (dependent on rule of law, market competition, and formal finance). This transition created winners and losers, forced rebranding and supply chain reorganization, and opened new opportunities for peacebuilding-aligned business models like "Footprints of Peace."
What is the Maoist conflict in India?
India's Maoist insurgency is an armed movement that emerged from indigenous and communist organizing in tribal forest regions. It centers on grievances about land dispossession, resource extraction, and state violence. The conflict overlaps significantly with mining districts, affecting approximately 200 districts and killing thousands over decades. Business strategies in extraction industries are central to understanding both the conflict's dynamics and potential solutions.
What is the relationship between mining and conflict in India?
Mining creates multiple conflict risks: displacement and livelihood loss generate insurgent recruitment; extractive wealth finances state military operations; weak governance in resource-rich areas enables insurgent territorial control; environmental degradation deepens grievances. Mining firms operating in Maoist-affected areas must navigate not only market competition but complex political economies where their operations directly shape conflict dynamics.
How do SMEs survive in Lebanon's polycrisis?
Lebanese SMEs survive polycrisis through social capital activation, operational innovation, and informal institution building. They use informal currency exchange, restructure supply chains outside formal banking, mobilize family and community networks for financing, and develop non-traditional products/services adapted to crisis conditions. Survival is less about formal business planning than adaptive capacity and deep social embeddedness.
What is the "war-torn to peace-torn" concept?
This concept describes the paradoxical situation many Colombian businesses faced: strategies that succeeded during conflict became liabilities during peace. Political relationships that provided security became stigmatizing. Supply chains optimized for insecurity became inefficient. The transition to peace was not simply "better" for business but fundamentally destabilizing, requiring extensive recalibration of strategy, operations, and political legitimacy.
How do domestic vs. foreign firms differ in fragile states?
Domestic firms face immediate local pressures and are embedded in existing power structures; they prioritize political relationships and survival. Foreign firms face international stakeholder pressure for responsible business practices and can more easily exit fragile markets. This creates different incentives: domestic firms may normalize fragile state dysfunction while foreign firms may impose global standards that isolate them from local political reality. Neither position is inherently superior.
Why did Morocco build a solar megaproject instead of decentralizing?
Because the incumbents in Morocco's power market stood to lose from decentralization and nobody adjudicated between them. ONEE feared grid instability and the sales self-production would take away, the Ministry of Interior is said to be a key source of the blockage, and the implementation decrees for five enabling laws passed between 2010 and 2023 were withheld until June 2026. Given ONEE's requirement that Noor keep producing in the peak hours after sunset, concentrated solar power was also the cheaper and administratively simpler option at the time of decision-making, and the 582 MW Noor Ouarzazate complex drew $2.5 billion in funding from international lenders plus diplomatic standing Morocco used for its own objectives.

About the Author

Jason Miklian is a Research Professor at the University of Oslo studying business, development, and conflict across fragile states. His fieldwork spans Myanmar, Colombia, India, Indonesia, Lebanon, and Bangladesh, and his co-authored work covers Morocco's renewable energy strategy.

ORCID: 0000-0003-1227-0975

For more research, visit miklian.org