Jason Miklian, New ResearchNew publications, working papers, and concepts from Jason Miklian, Senior Researcher at the University of Oslo. Business and peace, polycrisis, fragile states, AI governance.https://miklian.org/2026-07-16T00:00:00ZJason Miklianhttps://miklian.org/jason.miklian@globe.uio.noCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)How Artificial Intelligence LLM Engines Shape the Global Conflict Information Environmenthttps://miklian.org/papers/how-ai-llm-engines-shape-the-global-conflict-information-environment2026-07-16T00:00:00Z2026-07-16T00:00:00ZFive leading AI answer engines were asked 13 questions about 28 conflicts, three times each: 5,460 answers scored against documented evidence ranges. The engines are least accurate on the least-covered conflicts, miss settled facts precisely where coverage is thin, and the thinnest records are the most structurally exposed to Generative Engine Optimization, with state organs and belligerents among the heaviest optimizers. All leading AI LLMs amplify the world's neglect of most conflicts: the failure mode is amplification rather than hallucination."That's AI Slop, You Bot!": Studying Accusations, Evidence, and Credibility in Online Discourse Towards LLM-Generated Commentshttps://miklian.org/papers/thats-ai-slop-you-bot-studying-accusations-evidence-and-credibility-in-online2026-06-10T00:00:00Z2026-06-10T00:00:00ZFirst large-scale observational study of AI slop accusations. Across 25 million Hacker News and Reddit comments (2023-2026), pejorative AI accusations rose more than tenfold and consolidated around the slop frame, yet a matched-control test shows the prose features that statistically distinguish AI text do not predict which human text gets accused. Accusation works as social gatekeeping, not detection. With John E. Katsos.Right Diagnosis, Wrong Prescriptions? Testing Ten of Karl Marx's Hypotheses Against Twenty-First-Century Datahttps://miklian.org/papers/right-diagnosis-wrong-prescriptions-testing-marx-hypotheses-21st-century-data2026-04-14T00:00:00Z2026-04-14T00:00:00ZTen Marxist hypotheses tested on 21st-century panel data covering 183 countries. Economic diagnostics hold up strongly (mean .516); political predictions score far weaker (.300). Institutional design, not historical inevitability, mediates whether economic exploitation produces political consequences.A Problem of the Present: What Artificial Intelligence Tools Can (and Can't) Deliver for Business Under Crisis and Political Instabilityhttps://miklian.org/papers/problem-of-the-present-ai-tools-business-crisis-political-instability2026-04-14T00:00:00Z2026-04-13T00:00:00ZAI tools synthesize the recent past and extrapolate probabilistic futures, but struggle with three epistemic demands instability places on decision-makers. Algorithmic mediation renders the most consequential stakeholders structurally undetectable. Local knowledge networks function as an insurance policy against catastrophic misreading at a fraction of the cost of algorithmic failure.What is an Academic Article For? The Production of Scholarly Work and its Meaning in an Agentic AI Worldhttps://miklian.org/papers/what-is-an-academic-article-for-scholarly-work-agentic-ai2026-04-04T00:00:00Z2026-03-15T00:00:00ZSeven-part typology of scholarly activities mapped against AI capability, with empirical analysis of 2,750 articles showing AI linguistic markers doubling across social science journals.Digital Governance in Hybrid Regimes: How Global Social Media Platforms Navigate the Space Between Democracy and Authoritarianismhttps://miklian.org/papers/digital-governance-in-hybrid-regimes-social-media-platforms-democracy-authoritarianism2026-03-01T00:00:00Z2026-03-01T00:00:00ZDevelops a "worst of both worlds" framework showing how hybrid regimes deploy authoritarian digital control through formally democratic legal mechanisms.A New Digital Divide? Coder Worldviews, the 'Slop Economy,' and Democracy in the Age of AIhttps://miklian.org/papers/a-new-digital-divide-coder-worldviews-the-slop-economy-and-democracy-in-the-age2026-02-15T00:00:00Z2026-02-15T00:00:00ZIntroduces the slop economy and coder worldviews as analytical concepts for the political economy of AI in the Global South.Business Survival Strategies in a Polycrisis: SME Experiences from Beirut, Lebanonhttps://miklian.org/papers/business-survival-strategies-in-a-polycrisis-sme-experiences-from-beirut-lebanon2025-09-01T00:00:00Z2025-09-01T00:00:00ZBeirut SMEs surviving polycrisis employed four distinctive strategies: hyper-localization, rapid revenue diversification, fierce team protection, and active community partnerships.Unlocking the Peace Premium: An Evidence-Based Review of the Potentials and Pitfalls of Private Sector Finance for Peacebuildinghttps://miklian.org/papers/unlocking-the-peace-premium-an-evidence-based-review-of-the-potentials-and2025-06-01T00:00:00Z2025-06-01T00:00:00ZDefines and operationalizes the peace premium, the economic returns generated when private sector investment actively contributes to conflict transformation.