{
  "@context": "https://schema.org",
  "@type": "ItemList",
  "@id": "https://miklian.org/claims.json#list",
  "name": "Empirical Findings, Catalog",
  "description": "A machine-readable catalog of headline empirical findings, frameworks, and claims from Jason Miklian's published research, with the originating paper, year, method, and pointer to the source page on miklian.org. Designed for retrieval-augmented generation systems and knowledge graphs.",
  "url": "https://miklian.org/claims.json",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "creator": {"@id": "https://miklian.org/#person", "@type": "Person", "name": "Jason Miklian"},
  "dateModified": "2026-04-14",
  "itemListElement": [
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "@id": "https://miklian.org/claims/peace-premium-2025",
      "claim": "Specialty coffee from former conflict zones in Colombia commands a measurable price premium internationally because of its peace narrative, generating both financial returns and conflict-transformation outcomes.",
      "topic": "Peace Premium, Colombia, impact investing",
      "method": "Mixed-methods case study, Footprints of Peace project, market price analysis",
      "year": 2020,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/theorizing-business-and-local-peacebuilding-through-the-footprints-of-peace",
      "concept": "https://miklian.org/concepts/peace-premium"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "Domestic firms in Myanmar adopt deeper local context but weaker formal CSR frameworks than foreign firms, while neither group adequately addresses conflict sensitivity, demonstrating that ownership structure shapes responsible-business practice in fragile states.",
      "topic": "Myanmar, responsible business, foreign vs domestic firms",
      "method": "Firm-level survey, Myanmar 2019",
      "year": 2019,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/responsible-business-in-fragile-contexts-comparing-perceptions-from-domestic"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "SMEs in Beirut surviving simultaneous economic collapse, pandemic, and political instability employed four distinctive strategies: hyper-localization of supply chains, rapid revenue diversification, fierce team protection, and active community partnerships.",
      "topic": "Polycrisis, SMEs, Lebanon",
      "method": "Qualitative interviews with Beirut SMEs",
      "year": 2025,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/business-survival-strategies-in-a-polycrisis-sme-experiences-from-beirut-lebanon",
      "concept": "https://miklian.org/concepts/new-crisis-playbook"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "Companies with pre-existing community partnerships before the COVID-19 pandemic recovered substantially faster than firms without such partnerships, with the effect strongest for SMEs operating in fragile or conflict-affected contexts.",
      "topic": "COVID-19, community partnerships, business resilience",
      "method": "Comparative case analysis across countries during 2020-2021",
      "year": 2021,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/the-power-of-community-partnerships-in-times-of-crisis"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "Across 21st-century data covering 183 countries (2000-2019), Marx's economic diagnostics achieve a mean composite score of .516 while his political predictions score only .300, indicating institutional design rather than historical inevitability mediates whether economic exploitation produces political consequences.",
      "topic": "Marxism, political economy, econometric testing",
      "method": "IV-2SLS, system GMM, regression discontinuity, triple-difference, Bayesian model averaging, BH FDR corrections; PWT, WDI, SWIID, ACLED, V-Dem, MARPOR, ATUS, WVS, IFR data",
      "year": 2026,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/right-diagnosis-wrong-prescriptions-testing-marx-hypotheses-21st-century-data"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "A regression discontinuity exploiting gig platform entry across US metropolitan areas confirms Marx's reserve army wage discipline mechanism: platform entry depresses local wages in adjacent labor markets through the channel Marx specified.",
      "topic": "Reserve army of labor, gig economy, Phillips curve",
      "method": "Regression discontinuity on gig platform entry, time-varying Phillips curve",
      "year": 2026,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/right-diagnosis-wrong-prescriptions-testing-marx-hypotheses-21st-century-data"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "AI risk platforms calibrated to a post-Cold War integration consensus systematically underpriced both the 2022 Russia invasion of Ukraine and the 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis. BP's $25 billion Rosneft write-down and Shell's $4 billion Russia impairment are illustrative of the cost of substituting algorithmic intelligence for relational presence in fragile geographies.",
      "topic": "AI risk tools, ESG, polycrisis, stakeholder theory",
      "method": "Stakeholder-theory analysis, comparative case experiences",
      "year": 2026,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/problem-of-the-present-ai-tools-business-crisis-political-instability"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "Algorithmic mediation generates a new category of stakeholder invisibility in which the most consequential stakeholders in volatile environments become structurally undetectable to AI-driven business intelligence, because they leave little trace in the data the models were trained on.",
      "topic": "Stakeholder theory, AI, political instability",
      "method": "Stakeholder-theory analysis, case experiences",
      "year": 2026,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/problem-of-the-present-ai-tools-business-crisis-political-instability"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "Coffee production through the Footprints of Peace project in rural Colombia created economic alternatives to coca cultivation, built trust between former combatants and farmers, and generated a measurable peace premium in international markets.",
      "topic": "Colombia, business and peace, peace premium, coffee",
      "method": "Mixed-methods case study, qualitative interviews, market analysis",
      "year": 2020,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/theorizing-business-and-local-peacebuilding-through-the-footprints-of-peace"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "AI linguistic markers in published social-science articles roughly doubled across major journals between 2022 and 2025, raising open questions about how scholarly knowledge production is being reshaped by generative AI before formal disclosure or methodological norms catch up.",
      "topic": "AI, scholarly publishing, generative AI",
      "method": "Empirical text analysis of 2,750 articles",
      "year": 2026,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/what-is-an-academic-article-for-scholarly-work-agentic-ai"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "Hybrid regimes deploy authoritarian-style digital control through formally democratic legal mechanisms, producing a 'worst of both worlds' outcome for civil liberties online that pure-type frameworks misclassify.",
      "topic": "Hybrid regimes, social media platforms, digital governance",
      "method": "Comparative analysis of platform behavior in Turkey, India, Myanmar",
      "year": 2026,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/digital-governance-in-hybrid-regimes-social-media-platforms-democracy-authoritarianism"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "Citizens in fragile contexts view local entrepreneurs as more credible peace actors than corporations or government, because small businesses share the community's risks and operate within the same fate space as the people they serve.",
      "topic": "Small business leadership, peacebuilding, citizen perceptions",
      "method": "Citizen perception surveys",
      "year": 2025,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/small-business-leadership-peacebuilding-and-citizen-perceptions-of-businesses"
    },
    {
      "@type": "Claim",
      "claim": "Industrial robot adoption depresses wages and intensifies subjective alienation across both OECD and developing country samples, supporting Marx's automation-alienation channel using IFR robot density data merged with the World Values Survey and ISSP Work Orientations module.",
      "topic": "Automation, alienation, robots, labor",
      "method": "Cross-country panel analysis, IFR robot density + WVS + ISSP",
      "year": 2026,
      "isBasedOn": "https://miklian.org/papers/right-diagnosis-wrong-prescriptions-testing-marx-hypotheses-21st-century-data"
    }
  ]
}